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01.03.2024 02:03 PM
美元指數:2024年3月1日的交易情景
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美元指數(在MT4平台上的CFD #USDX)繼續在長期看漲市場區間內交易,明顯高於100.75的關鍵支撐位(在周線圖上的200 EMA)。

過去一個月來,DXY主要在中期看漲市場範圍內運作,由103.75的支撐位(在日線圖上的200 EMA)限制。

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技術指標 RSI、OsMA 和隨機指標在日線和週線上均偏向買方,暗示持有長期和中期職位的相關性。

當本地104.25的阻力水平被突破時,這可能作為新購買的最早信號。潛在目標(在2或3個月間隔內)包括10月高位和106.50、106.80、107.00、107.30的水平,除非出現來自美國的負面宏觀指標,尤其是CPI指數的變化,從而改變了情景。

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在另一种情况下,若闯过关键支撑位于103.75美元,可能标志着做空仓位的开始。进一步下跌将使DXY指数进入中期熊市区域,再次有利于做空仓位,目标位于101.85(周线图上的144 EMA),101.00,100.75(周线图上的200 EMA),100.00,从而区分出长期看涨市场和看跌市场。

美元及其DXY指数的未来动态将与基本面背景和美联储的行动密切相关。

支撑位:104.00,103.97,103.75,103.40,103.00,102.00,101.85,101.00,100.75,100.00

阻力位:104.25,104.59,104.90,105.00,106.00,106.80,107.00,107.30

交易情景

主要情境:设立104.30的买入止损价。止损位设立在103.60。目标设定在104.59,104.90,105.00,106.00,106.80,107.00,107.30

备选情境:设立103.60的卖出止损价。止损位设立在104.30。目标设定在103.40,103.00,102.00,101.85,101.00,100.75,100.00

“目标”对应支撑/阻力位。这并不保证其实现,但可作为规划和设置交易位置时的参考。

Jurij Tolin,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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