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05.09.2024 08:07 AM
2024年9月5日歐元/美元熱點預測

美國的職位空缺數量減少至770萬。此外,之前的數值從820萬修正為790萬,而預期為810萬。儘管數據令人失望,但美元的疲軟僅僅是象徵性的。根據這些數據,很難得出對美國勞動力市場狀況的深遠結論,與今天公布的就業數據不同,後者預計僅增加11.5萬,這在美國標準下極其微小,並清楚顯示失業率上升。對美元的另一個負面因素可能是歐元區零售銷售報告,該報告可能顯示下降幅度從-0.3%減緩至-0.1%。這一切應該會導致美元更加顯著和明顯的疲軟。

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在心理關口1.1000/1.1050的上方範圍內,歐元/美元的空頭頭寸減少,這表明修正週期的放緩。

在4小時圖表中,RSI技術指標上穿50中線,這表明多頭頭寸的增加。

在相同時間範圍內觀察鱷魚指標,移動平均線相互纏繞,這可能表明修正週期的結束。

預期與前景

在歐元復甦的第一階段,報價必須在全天保持在1.1100以上。否則,價格可能回到這一心理關口,這表明修正週期仍在進行中。

綜合指標分析表明,短期和日內周期內歐元將有所回升。指標顯示中期呈上升趨勢。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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