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20.01.2025 01:12 AM
美元/日元與歐元/日元——技術分析概覽

美元/日圓

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高時間框架

在上週結束時,我們觀察到每週的盤整,形成了一條長的下影線,深入到了每週Ichimoku雲的邊界,位於156.07。賣方現在可能會試圖保持必要的主動來返回並在每週雲中盤整。要成功做到這一點,他們必須首先克服位於154.96和154.03之間的每日Ichimoku交叉,並重新奪回每週短期趨勢點153.76。

如果賣方不成功,而買方能夠繼續恢復他們的頭寸,那麼多頭將瞄準重新獲得每日短期趨勢的156.94,並目標是在158.89的修正區域之外移動,這使他們能夠恢復上升趨勢。突破158.89的最近高點將在每日和每週時間框架上恢復上升趨勢。為了讓價格回到每月趨勢運行中,它需要突破每月高點161.96。

***

EUR/JPY

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較高時間框架

上週,EUR/JPY 貨幣對經歷了相當大的波動。週一,買家試圖接管市場並發起修正性反彈,但最終未能成功。賣家成功阻止了這次反彈,將價格推至新低,並收於關鍵支撐集群之下,並到達每日 Ichimoku 雲圖的下邊界 159.74。

週五,買家再次嘗試反攻,但週一的支撐集群已轉變為阻力,減緩了多頭的恢復。該阻力區現已由每日 Ichimoku 交叉強化,擴大至區間 160.51 到 162.46,其中特定水平為 160.51、160.90、161.15、161.38、161.73、162.08 和 162.46。

如果買家能夠突破這一阻力區域,可能引發更持久且顯著的多頭動能。相反,如果賣家在這些阻力水平維持他們的地位,他們將目標將價格推低至每日 Ichimoku 雲圖的159.65以下,瞄準月度中期趨勢支撐156.38。

***

技術分析組成部分:
  • 較高時間框架:Ichimoku Kinko Hyo(9.26.52)和 Fibonacci Kijun 水平
  • H1:經典 Pivot Points 和 120 周期移動平均線(周長期趨勢)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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