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17.02.2025 01:47 PM
美元/日元——分析與預測
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今日,日圓的盤中價格大幅上漲,主要受一份積極的國內生產總值(GDP)報告推動,該報告確認日本經濟增長。這加強了市場對日本央行(BoJ)可能很快加息的預期,從而提高了對日圓的需求。

此外,美日之間的利率差縮小進一步支持了日圓的升值。在美元賣壓持續的背景下,美元/日圓仍然承壓,徘徊在151.00水平之上。

然而,有關美國潛在報復性關稅的擔憂可能會限制激進的日圓購買。此外,市場預期美聯儲可能維持其強硬立場,這有助於防止美元過度貶值,為美元/日圓的持續下跌創造障礙。

儘管如此,基本面前景仍然有利於日圓多頭,暗示美元/日圓的最小阻力路徑是向下。

技術展望及關鍵水平

目前支撐位於151.45。然後,隨著日線振蕩指標處於負值區域,進一步的賣壓可能觸發新的看跌走勢。跌破151.00可能加速下滑至心理支撐位150.00甚至更低。

另一方面,任何反彈至152.00之上可能在152.70附近遇到阻力,該處為200日簡單移動平均線(SMA)所在位置。突破此水平可能引發漲勢,使美元/日圓超過154.00心理關口,並進入154.45–154.50供應區及上週的波動高點154.80。

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日元的市場表現

今天,日元兌歐元的表現最為強勁,如百分比變化表所示,該表追踪日元對主要貨幣的走勢變化。

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Irina Yanina,
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© 2007-2026
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