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20.03.2025 04:37 AM
2025年3月20日歐元/美元預測

聯邦儲備委員會會議已經結束,我們預期會強調經濟風險的看法是正確的。無論是附帶的聲明還是Powell的演講都強調了這些憂慮。

央行將2025年的GDP增長預測從2.5%下調至1.7%,將通脹預測從2.5%上調至2.8%,並將失業預測提高到4.4%。不過,市場,包括股票市場,並沒有做出負面反應。投資者可能預期到更糟糕的預測,但實際情況並不算壞,且沒有提到經濟衰退的討論。

聯邦儲備維持謹慎,並計劃在年末前實施兩次降息。

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在日線圖上,歐元一直保持在1.0882至1.0949的區間內。價格曾試圖跌破1.0882,但未能成功。目前,我們預期歐元將突破1.0949,這將為進一步向設定在2024年9月3日最低點的1.1027目標位增長打開通道。

價格與Marlin指標的背離看起來較弱,可能會重新組成另一種形態。

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在H4圖表上,價格曾短暫跌破1.0882支撐位,而Marlin震盪指標則在零線下方出現了假突破。若價格上破1.0949,這將與突破MACD線同步,並將預示著價格將上漲至1.1027。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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