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17.04.2025 11:07 AM
2025年4月17日歐元/美元匯率預測

週三,歐元再次進入了目標區間1.1385–1.1420。然而,最近的價格走勢表明,1.1385這一水平現在似乎不再重要——我們看到一個在1.1276至1.1420之間的整固區間。在這個區間內,歐元將等待今天歐洲央行會議的結果。經濟學家預計利率將從2.65%下調至2.40%。近幾天,市場參與者提高了其鴿派預期,甚至考慮進一步降息至2.15%(-0.50%)或略高一點——大約在2.25–2.30%之間。

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總體來看,我們預計會跌破1.1276的支撐位,並向1.1110/50區間移動。突破這一區域將開啟通往1.0955目標水平的道路——即3月18日的高點。Marlin震盪指標已經進入負值區域,並有可能將價格拖下。

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在H4圖表上,價格再次跌破1.1385區間的下邊界。目前支撐位1.1276已暴露。隨著歐洲央行的決定,MACD線(1.1230)可能也會被突破。

只有當價格穩定在1.1535水平以上時,才可能有替代情況發生。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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