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09.01.2026 07:35 PM
紐元/美元。分析與預測
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紐元兌美元(NZD/USD)貨幣對已連續四天受到賣壓。現貨價格保持低迷,在中國最新通脹數據發佈後也未見明顯改善。

中國國家統計局(NBS)報告指出,12月消費者物價指數(CPI)同比上升0.8%,高於上個月的0.7%,但低於預期的0.9%。

同時,生產者物價指數(PPI)同比下降1.9%,與11月的2.2%降幅相比有所緩和,顯示出通縮壓力的緩和。然而,這些數據未能對澳大利亞和新西蘭貨幣,包括紐元,帶來實質性的提振效應。地緣政治緊張局勢上升使得美元作為避險資產受到支持,令其週度漲幅達到月度高點,繼續對風險敏感的紐元施加壓力。

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儘管如此,美國備受期待的非農就業報告(NFP)的發布幫助了紐元/美元(NZD/USD)貨幣對止住下跌趨勢。

市場對美聯儲降息的預期可能也會限制美元的進一步上漲。此外,紐西蘭央行(RBNZ)對未來政策的鷹派言論支撐了紐元,幫助控制了紐元/美元的跌勢。特別是,紐西蘭央行行長安娜·布瑞曼(Anna Breman)指出,鑑於預期的經濟前景,目前的利率很可能在這個水平上維持更長時間。這使得看空紐元/美元的人保持謹慎,並建議更謹慎地等待匯價穩定跌破50日簡單移動平均線(SMA)0.5730後再開新空位。

目前,匯價在50日SMA獲得支撐,而0.5750水平被視為阻力位。同時值得注意的是,日線圖上的振盪指標表現混合,相對強弱指數(RSI)進入負區域,確認了紐元/美元的多頭疲軟,匯價似乎正在鎖定虧損。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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