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14.01.2026 06:32 PM
歐元/美元。分析與預測
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今天是星期三,歐元/美元貨幣對顯示出溫和的上漲,保持在1.1650水平之上,但仍接近於位於1.1620左右的月度低點。

美國的美元指數儘管發佈了弱於預期的12月核心消費者物價指數數據,但仍維持在相同的區間內。市場對這項新聞發布幾乎無動於衷。根據美國勞工統計局(BLS)的數據,按年比計算的價格壓力普遍穩定,未能證實核心通脹加速的預期。

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美元缺乏反應表明數據並未改變市場對聯邦儲備局下一步行動的共識預測。目前,交易員完全預期在1月底的會議上,利率將保持不變,而根據CME FedWatch數據,3月降息的概率從一週前的近40%下降至26%。

由於缺乏重要的宏觀經濟發佈,歐洲市場的波動性依然低迷。投資者的注意力集中在即將公佈的美國零售銷售數據和多位聯儲官員的講話,這些可能會澄清潛在貨幣政策變化的時間點。此外,美國最高法院預計將於週三稍晚公佈對唐納德·特朗普總統關稅措施的裁決,這也是影響市場的一個新聞因素。

從技術角度來看,50日和100日簡單移動平均線在1.6550和1.6650左右提供阻力。突破這一區域將加速匯價朝圓整的1.700水平移動。

另一方面,主要支撐位在1.1622,其次是圓整的1.1600水平。如果未能守住這些水平將加速下滑至200日簡單移動平均線。日線圖上的振盪器呈現混合信號,表明匯價尚未選擇明確方向。

歐元兌主要全球貨幣表現不一,其中對加拿大元的漲幅最為明顯。

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Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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