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17.02.2026 06:47 PM
EUR/GBP:分析與預測
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連續第二天,EUR/GBP 貨幣對持續走高,在英國勞動市場數據疲弱的背景下向上突破了 100 日SMA。英國國家統計局(Office for National Statistics)報告顯示,1 月份失業救濟申領人數增加了 28,600 人,高於預期;同時截至 12 月的三個月失業率升至 5.2%。扣除獎金的平均薪資年增率放緩至 4.2%,符合預期,而包括獎金的薪資年增率則由先前的 4.6% 降至 4.2%。

這些指標表明,2026 年初英國勞動市場持續降溫,進一步強化市場對英國央行(Bank of England)在 3 月降息 25 個基點的預期。這對英鎊形成壓力,同時成為推動 EUR/GBP 上行的主要動力。

與此同時,在德國最終消費者物價指數(CPI)數據確認 1 月按年上升 2.1% 的初值後,歐元表現穩定,而該數據預料不會對歐洲央行的預測造成顯著影響。

總體而言,基本面背景仍顯示,即期價格最可能的走勢方向偏向上行。

從技術角度來看,匯價持續走強並站穩於 100 日SMA 之上,有利於多頭。下一道關鍵阻力位在 0.8745,突破該水平將確認偏多前景,並有望推動該貨幣對自 2025 年 12 月以來首次重返具有心理意義的 0.8800 水平。日線圖振盪指標已轉入正值區間,進一步支持偏多傾向。

不過,若匯價無法守住接近 0.8725 的 100 日SMA,多頭仍可依靠另外兩道支撐——50 日SMA 和 20 日SMA——來維持上行格局。一旦跌破這些水準,將削弱當前的多頭動能。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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