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10.04.2026 01:24 PM
GBP/USD 走勢預測:匯價靜待美國數據
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在重要的美國消費者物價指數(CPI)報告公布之前,GBP/USD 貨幣對暫停了此前的上漲走勢,但仍穩定維持在自 2 月下旬以來的高位附近。當前在 1.3420–1.3430 區間的報價顯示,匯價仍有進一步上行的可能。

預期即將公布的 CPI 報告將顯示,3 月通脹率有所上升,主因是戰爭推高了油價。這可能強化聯邦儲備局維持利率不變的立場。霍爾木茲海峽局勢緊張同樣對美元形成支撐,從而對 GBP/USD 構成壓力。

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伊朗因應區域衝突而暫停經由霍爾木茲海峽的航運,提升了風險並對油價形成支撐。此外,美國總統 Donald Trump 指責伊朗對經過霍爾木茲海峽的石油資源管理不當,並違反先前達成的協議。他同時警告,若協議失敗,將重新發動攻擊。這顯示局勢升級的風險依然存在,並持續對油價提供支撐。

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與此同時,交易員正在下調對英國央行加息的預期,市場目前預計到年底只會加息30–40個基點——這與聯準會先前的訊號有明顯差異,後者暗示在年底前將開始降息,並在2027年再度降息一次。

因此,在目前形勢下,在做出交易決策時需要保持謹慎,一方面是因為GBP/USD多頭仍受到支撐,另一方面則是潛在的進一步下跌風險仍然存在。

從技術角度來看,各項指標表現不一,不過相對強弱指數已轉入正面區域,顯示多頭佔據優勢。他們的近期目標位在1.3485一線。

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Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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