empty
 
 
14.06.2019 01:57 AM
Swiss franc may be the main beneficiary of the new global crisis

This image is no longer relevant

Over the past month, the Swiss currency has risen by almost 2% against the US dollar, surpassing all other peers in the G10 group.

"A downward turn in the global economy and riskier asset markets could lead to a dramatic and accelerated growth of the CHF," said Paul M., currency strategist at JPMorgan Chase.

Now he expects the franc to strengthen to $0.95 (the highest level since March last year) compared with the previous target of $0.98.

According to the analyst, the current account surplus in Switzerland, which is 10% of gross domestic product (which is three times more than Japan), makes the franc more reliable than the yen, a safe haven.

"I admit that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will try to restrain the growth of the franc. However, the regulator did not intervene and did not conduct foreign exchange interventions even during the Italian budget crisis last year, "said P. Meghesi.

"Now the national currency is less controlled by the central bank than during most of the past decade. Entering the next global recession with reserves at the level of 120% probably means that the regulator should be more loyal to the fundamental reasons for the appreciation of the franc caused by fundamental reasons, unlike in the past situation when the central bank met the global financial crisis when foreign exchange reserves were less than 15 % Of GDP. The SNB arsenal may not be completely empty, but there are far fewer bullets than ever before," he added.

Viktor Isakov,
Experto analítico de InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $1000 más!
    ¡En Abril, sorteamos $1000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback