empty
 
 
31.08.2020 10:22 AM
Analysis and forecast for GBP/USD on August 31, 2020

Despite the continuing twists and turns associated with the achievement of a Brexit deal between the UK and the European Union, as well as very disappointing forecasts of economists about the prospects for the British economy, the pound significantly strengthened against the US dollar at last week's trading. The growth of the GBP/USD currency pair at the trading on August 24-28 was 2%.

As already mentioned in previous articles, the demand for the US dollar as a safe asset during the COVID-19 pandemic has sunk into oblivion. The US currency is under selling pressure across the entire spectrum of the foreign exchange market, and, apparently, this trend has a chance to continue. For more information about the new aspects of monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve System (FRS), read the article on the euro/dollar.

Among the main events of this week that may have an impact on the price dynamics of the pound/dollar pair, it is worth highlighting the PMI in the UK services sector, as well as the speech of the head of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey. Of the numerous American statistics, the main event will certainly be the data on the US labor market for August, which will be published on Friday, September 4.

Weekly

This image is no longer relevant

Well, let's move on to the technical picture for GBP/USD, where first of all it is worth noting the closing price of the last five days - 1.3346. As you can see, in contrast to the euro/dollar, the pound broke the reversal signal, absorbing the growth of the previous candle "Tombstone". At the moment of writing, the pair is slightly declining, so we can assume a pullback to the broken resistance level of 1.3265, after which we can calculate for a resumption of growth.

At the same time, I think it is necessary to remind you that the price zone of 1.3300-1.3350 is quite strong technically, so it is too early to consider its breakdown as true. Also, such an impressive growth of the British currency against the dollar could be influenced by the strong strengthening of the "British" pair with the single European currency. Often, the dynamics of the EUR/GBP cross-rate has a strong impact on the main currency pairs with the euro and the pound. However, let's go back to the GBP/USD. If the upward dynamics of the pair continues, I do not rule out a rise to the psychological level of 1.3500, where the maximum values (1.3513) were shown almost a year ago. In the case of a downward weekly scenario and closing below 1.3265, this resistance level will be considered falsely broken, after which the bears on the British currency will try to continue the pressure.

Daily

This image is no longer relevant

This timeframe clearly shows the market's desire to pull back to the broken resistance zone of 1.3282-1.3265. If this happens, you can use this pullback to open long positions on the GBP/USD currency pair. In general, if we talk about trading recommendations, then after such an impressive growth shown last week and such a high closing price, the main idea is to buy, which is better to open after corrective pullbacks and at lower prices. Alternatively, for purchases, you can consider a dedicated area of broken resistance levels, which can now perform a support function.

Since there are no events from the UK or the US in today's economic calendar, trading on GBP/USD will be influenced by market sentiment and technical factors.

Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $1000 más!
    ¡En Abril, sorteamos $1000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback