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28.01.2022 09:35 PM
GBP/USD rebound could end anytime

GBP/USD plunged in the last hours after reaching the 1.3432 level. At the time of writing, it was traded at 1.3390. The bias remains bearish as the Dollar Index is bullish despite its temporary retreat. Actually, the DXY was expected to drop a little after the last leg higher.

The pair rebounded only because the DXY dropped. Fundamentally, the US Core PCE Price Index registered a 0.5% growth matching expectations, while the Revised UoM Consumer Spending dropped unexpectedly from 68.8 to 67.2 points. In addition, Personal Spending came in line with expectations, but the Personal Income reported worse than expected data.

GBP/USD erases today's gains

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GBP/USD found support at the weekly S3 (1.3357) but it has failed to stabilize above the 1.34 psychological level and above the 61.8% retracement level signaling strong sellers. A temporary rebound was natural after the last sell-off.

Stabilizing below the 61.8% (1.3392) retracement level may announce a downside continuation. A new lower low, a bearish closure below 1.3357 may activate a deeper drop towards the 1.3300 psychological level.

GBP/USD prediction

As long as it stays under the downtrend line, GBP/USD could drop towards new lows. Dropping and closing below 1.3357 S3 may validate a downside continuation and could bring new selling opportunities. The lower median line (LML) could attract the price after failing to stabilize above the median line (ML).

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Ralph Shedler
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