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31.03.2014 11:04 AM
Gold technical analysis for March 31, 2014

Gold prce has made an impulsive decline from $1,391 to $1,285. This impulsive decline together with the fact that the upward breakout was fake, makes me believe that Gold price will have more downside pressure if the price remains below $1,400. I believe that over the next few months, we will see Gold price making new lower lows than $1,180 towards $1,100. Gold price in the short-term is oversold and that is why my strategy is to wait for an upward bounce before enterish short positions.

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Gold price has finally broken out of the downward sloping red trend line. This is an initial reversal sign and a clue that the short-term bottom might be in. As long as price trades above $1,285, there are increased probabilities of moving higher towards $1,322. Short-term resistance is found at $1,308-10. Short-term support is at $1,285. I expect Gold price to retrace at least the 38% of the decline.

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Gold price is expected to make an upward bounce to reach the weekly Ichimoku cloud resistance and retrace the first decline from $1,391. I believe this upward move should be sold as my view is bearish in the long-term. I expect the lows at $1,180 to be broken before the end of this summer. I expect Gold to reach at least $1,100.

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