empty
 
 
30.04.2015 09:41 AM
Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 30, 2015

This image is no longer relevant

Fundamental outlook:

USD/JPY is expected to consolidate after hitting a seven-day low of 118.58 on Wednesday. USD/JPY is undermined by negative dollar sentiment (ICE spot dollar index last 95.21 versus 96.10 early Wednesday) on the back of the US flash GDP weaker-than-expected 0.2% annual rate growth in the Q1 (versus forecast +1.0%). USD/JPY is also weighed by the flows to haven JPY amid decreased risk tolerance (VIX fear gauge rose 7.9% to 13.39, S&P 500 closed 0.37% lower at 2,106.85 overnight) due to weak US GDP data; Japan export sales. But USD sentiment is soothed after the statement from the Federal Reserve sounded more optimistic than expected (the central bank said some of the recent softness in the US economy reflected "transitory factors," although it offered investors little additional clarity on its course of rate increases). USD/JPY downside is also limited by demand from Japan importers, and higher US Treasury yields (10-year at 2.045% versus 1.973% late Tuesday).

Technical comment:
The daily chart is mixed as the MACD and stochastics are bearish, five-day moving average is below 15-day moving average and is declining; but bullish outside-day-range pattern was completed on Wednesday.

Trading recommendations:
The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 118.30. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 117.80. The pivot point stands at 119.35. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 119.70 and the second target at 120.10.

Resistance levels:
119.70
120.10
120.45

Support levels:
118.30
117.80
117.40

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
InstaForex Analyst
Start trade
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $6000 más!
    ¡En Diciembre, sorteamos $6000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback