empty
 
 
04.05.2015 02:55 PM
Technical analysis of USD/JPY for May 04, 2015

This image is no longer relevant

Fundamental outlook:
USD/JPY is expected to consolidate with bullish bias after hitting almost the three-week high of 120.29 on Friday. Today, liquidity is thin in Asia and Europe as financial markets in Japan and the UK are closed for public holidays. USD/JPY is underpinned by broadly firmer dollar undertone (ICE spot dollar index last 95.25 versus 94.84 early Friday) and higher U.S. Treasury yields (10-year at 2.117% versus 2.044% late Thursday). The pair is also affected by the comment of Fed's Mester that she is not yet willing to rule out supporting a rise in rates at central bank's June policy meeting despite data showing a very weak start to growth in 2015. Ms. Mester said that when it comes to boosting rates off their current near zero levels, "all meetings are on the table." USD/JPY is also supported by the ultra-loose Bank of Japan's monetary policy and reduced safe-haven appeal of the yen as global risk sentiment improves (VIX fear gauge eased 12.71% to 12.7; S&P 500 closed up 1.09% at 2,108.29 Friday). But USD sentiment is dented by the surprise on-month drop of 0.6% in the U.S. March construction spending (versus forecast +0.5%), and weaker-than-expected U.S. April ISM manufacturing PMI of 51.5 (versus forecast 52.0). USD/JPY gains are tempered by the buy-yen orders from Japan's exporters.

Technical comment:
The daily chart is positive-biased as stochastics is bullish, the MACD histogram bars are turned positive. Five-day moving average is rising above 15-day moving average.

Trading recommendations:
The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a wider range as long as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price holds above its pivot point, long positions are recommended with the first target at 120.50 and the second target at 120.80. In the alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 1119.20. A break of this target is likely to push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 118.75. The pivot point is at 119.55.

Resistance levels:
120.50
120.80
121.45

Support levels:
119.20
118.75
118.30

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
InstaForex Analyst
Start trade
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $6000 más!
    ¡En Diciembre, sorteamos $6000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback