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07.08.2012 11:59 AM
GBP/JPY Wave Analysis for August 7,2012

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GBP/JPY Elliott Wave
Yesterday the GBP/JPY pair was trading in a strong descending movement developing corrective wave 2 (coloured blue) of the bigger wave (3) (coloured green). During the Asian and the European sessions we could observe a downward movement of this exotic currency pair that brought price towards the 121.67 level and we can consider this move as the end of the 2 wave (coloured blue). Therefore, during the New York session the GBP/JPY pair did not manage to hold this level and the price started pushing higher when the development of the impulsive 3 wave (coloured blue) started. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (121.03-123.12-121.67) with Take Profit 1 at 123.73 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 124.97 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use Support point at 121.40 as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the UK Manufacturing Production m/m, NIESR GDP Estimate, Industrial Production m/m data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 120.88 (S2) 121.43 (S1) 121.77 (PP) 122.32 (R1) 122.87 (R2) 123.21 (R3) 123.76
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 122.20 with Stop Loss 121.40 Take Profit 1 123.73 and Take Profit 2 at 124.97 are recommended.

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
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