USD/CAD Elliott Wave
Last week the USD/CAD pair was trading in a downward move, developing impulsive wave (3) (coloured orange) of the bigger wave 5 (coloured purple). During the Friday's Asian and European sessions we could observe descending movement toward the 0.9767 level. Therefore, during the early New York session the USD/CAD pair did not manage to hold this level and price started pushing higher reaching a new daily high at 0.9808 level. Today during the Asian session this major currency finished developing of the corrective (2) wave (coloured green) at 0.9810 level and price started pushing lower. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci Extensions (0.9834-0.9762-0.9799), with Take Profit at 0.9695 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 0.9835 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor U.S. Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Empire State Manufacturing Index, Business Inventories m/m, FOMC Member Lacker Speaks and CAD BOC Business Outlook Survey, and BOC Gov Carney Speaks data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9750 (S2) 0.9766 (S1) 0.9775 (PP) 0.9790 (R1) 0.9806 (R2) 0.9815 (R3) 0.9830
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9780 with Stop Loss 0.9835 and Take Profit at 0.9695 are recommended.