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01.11.2012 11:24 AM
EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for November 1, 2012

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EUR/NZD - Monthly

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EUR/NZD - 4 Hourly

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 1.5745                    R1: 1.5836

S2: 1.5705                    R2: 1.5906

S3: 1.5652                    R3: 1.6009

 

Technical Overview: 

 

Looking at monthly chart first, we can see that we have encountered strong resistance near 1.6059 in form of a long-term downtrend line, going back to early 2011. We still think that this resistance will ultimately be broken, which will open up for a much larger rally higher. The first major target will be at 1.6967, but in the long term we should see a much larger rally once this downtrend line is broken.
Looking at the 4 hourly chart, we suppose that we ended a expanded flat correction at 1.5690 and we should see a break above minor resistance at 1.5836 soon, which will confirm the bottom and the next rally higher. The first target for black wave iii is at 1.6516, but we think that it likely will extend towards 1.6712 and maybe even 1.6967.

 

Trading Recommendation: 

You should be long EUR from 1.5790 with a 1.5700 stop. If you are not long EUR already you should buy here or a break above 1.5836 with the same stop.

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Torben Melsted
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