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24.08.2017 08:10 AM
Fractal analysis for major currency pairs as of August 24

Dear colleagues.

For the EUR / USD pair, the continuation of its development to the top is possible after the breakdown of 1.1836. The level of 1.1732 is the key support. For the GBP / USD pair, we continue to monitor the downward structure from August 21. For the USD / CHF pair, the development of the upward structure on the scale of H1 is possible after the breakdown of 0.9697. For the USD / JPY pair, the continuation of the downward movement is expected after the breakdown of 109.10. For the EUR / JPY pair, we are still inclined to the subsequent development of the downward structure from August 16, considering the structure of a larger scale. For the GBP / JPY pair, the continuation of the development of the downward structure from August 15 is expected after the breakdown of 139.30.

Forecast for August 24:

Analytical review of currency pairs in the scale of H1:

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For the EUR / USD pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 1.1937, 1.1882, 1.1836, 1.1770, 1.1732 and 1.1679. Here, the upward structure of August 17 is still relevant for the definition of goals. The continuation of the upward movement is expected after the breakdown of 1.1836. In this case, the target is 1.1882. Near this level is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the top is still 1.1937, after which we expect a rollback to correction.

Short-term downward movement is possible in the range of 1.1770-1.1732. The breakdown of the latter value will lead to the development of a downward structure. In this case, the first potential target is 1.1679.

The main trend is the formation of the upward structure of August 17.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.1836 Take profit: 1.1880

Buy: 1.1884 Take profit: 1.1935

Sell: 1.1730 Take profit: 1.1680

Sell: 1.1770 Take profit: 1.1738

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For the GBP / USD pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 1.2917, 1.2874, 1.2851, 1.2802, 1.2770, 1.2728 and 1.2700. Here, we follow the downward structure of August 21. Short-term downward movement is possible. Consolidation is expected in the area of 1.2802 - 1.2770. The breakdown of the last value will lead to a pronounced movement to the level of 1.2728. The potential value for the bottom is the level of 1.2700, upon reaching which we expect consolidation.

Short-term upward movement is possible in the range of 1.2851 - 1.2874. The breakdown of the last value will lead to a buildup of potential for the top. Here, the target is 1.2917.

The main trend is the local downward structure of August 21.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.2851 Take profit: 1.2872

Buy: 1.2876 Take profit: 1.2915

Sell: 1.2768 Take profit: 1.2730

Sell: 1.2726 Take profit: 1.2703

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For the USD / CHF pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 0.9697, 0.9662, 0.9640, 0.9603, 0.9579, 0.9530 and 0.9495. Here, the price is in the initial conditions for the downward movement of August 16 and is currently close to the cancellation of this structure. This requires a breakdown at level 0.9697. Here, the potential target is 0.9758. In this level, we expect a capacity for the top. The development of the downward structure is expected after passing the price of the noise range of 0.9603 - 0.9579. In this case, the target is 0.9530. The potential value for the bottom is the level of 0.9495, upon which we expect consolidation and a rollback to the top.

The main trend is the formation of a downward structure from August 16.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 0.9700 Take profit: 0.9755

Buy: Take profit:

Sell: 0.9603 Take profit: 0.9580

Sell: 0.9575 Take profit: 0.9530

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For the CAD / USD pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 1.2717, 1.2658, 1.2618, 1.2540, 1.2471, 1.2441 and 1.2392. Here, we follow the formation of a downward structure from August 15. Continued downward movement is expected after the breakdown of 1.2540. In this case, the target is 1.2471. In the area of 1.2441 - 1.2471 is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the bottom is the level of 1.2392, upon reaching which we expect movement towards correction.

Short-term upward movement is possible in the area of 1.2618 - 1.2658. The breakdown of the last value will lead to in-depth movement. Here, the target is 1.2717.

The main trend is the downward structure of August 15.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.2618 Take profit: 1.2655

Buy: 1.2660 Take profit: 1.2715

Sell: 1.2540 Take profit: 1.2471

Sell: 1.2440 Take profit: 1.2395

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For the AUD / USD pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 0.8097, 0.8056, 0.8004 0.7960, 0.7893, 0.7856 and 0.7802. Here, we continue to follow the formation of the upward structure of August 15. Continued upward movement is expected after the breakdown of 0.7960. In this case the target is 0.8004. In this range is the price consolidation. Breaking the level of 0.8006 will allow us to count on the movement towards the level of 0.8056. The potential value for the top is the level 0.8097, from which we expect a pullback downwards.

Short-term downward movement is possible in the range of 0.7893 - 0.7856. Hence, the probability of a turn up is high. Breaking the level of 0.7856 will lead to a downward structure. Here, the first target is 0.7802.

The main trend is the upward structure of August 15.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 0.7960 Take profit: 0.8002

Buy: 0.8006 Take profit: 0.8055

Sell: 0.7890 Take profit: 0.7857

Sell: 0.7854 Take profit: 0.7802

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For the AUD / USD pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 0.8097, 0.8056, 0.8004 0.7960, 0.7893, 0.7856 and 0.7802. Here, we continue to follow the formation of the upward structure of August 15. Continued upward movement is expected after the breakdown of 0.7960. In this case the target is 0.8004. In this range is the price consolidation. Breaking the level of 0.8006 will allow us to count on the movement towards the level of 0.8056. The potential value for the top is the level 0.8097, from which we expect a pullback downwards.

Short-term downward movement is possible in the range of 0.7893 - 0.7856. Hence, the probability of a turn up is high. Breaking the level of 0.7856 will lead to a downward structure. Here, the first target is 0.7802.

The main trend is the upward structure of August 15.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 0.7960 Take profit: 0.8002

Buy: 0.8006 Take profit: 0.8055

Sell: 0.7890 Take profit: 0.7857

Sell: 0.7854 Take profit: 0.7802

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For the EUR / JPY pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 129.60, 128.93, 127.90, 127.22, 126.75 and 126.10. Here, we follow the formation of a downward structure from August 16. Currently, the price is in the area of the initial conditions. Continued downward movement is expected after the breakdown of 127.90. In this case, the target is 127.22. If this level is reached, we expect consolidation in the range of 127.22 - 126.75. The potential value for the bottom is the level of 126.10, upon reaching which we expect a movement towards correction.

The short-term upward movement is possible in the area of 128.93 - 129.60. The latter is the key support for the downward structure from August 16. Its breakdown will lead to the formation of an upward structure. Here, the potential target is 130.26.

The main trend is the formation of a downward structure from August 16.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 129.65 Take profit: 130.22

Buy: 128.95 Take profit: 129.55

Sell: 127.90 Take profit: 127.30

Sell: 127.20 Take profit: 126.80

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For the GBP / JPY pair, the key levels on the scale of H1 are: 140.69, 140.22, 139.92, 139.31, 138.97 and 138.48. Here, we follow the development of the downward cycle from August 15. The continuation of the movement downwards is expected after the breakdown of 139.31. In this case, the target is 138.97 .Near this level is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the bottom is the level of 138.48, upon reaching which we expect a movement towards correction.

Short-term upward movement is possible in the area of 139.92 - 140.22. The breakdown of the last value will lead to in-depth correction. Here, the target is 140.65. This level is the key support for the downward structure from August 15. Before it happens, we expect the formulation of the expressed initial conditions for the upward cycle.

The main trend is the downward cycle from August 15.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 139.92 Take profit: 140.20

Buy: 140.25 Take profit: 140.65

Sell: 139.30 Take profit: 139.00

Sell: 138.94 Take profit: 138.50

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Aleksey Almazov
Start trade
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