The real cut in OPEC supplies and tensions in the Middle East outweighed fears of a possible decrease in oil demand. "Black gold" is actively going up, despite the trade dispute between the United States and China, which holds back the growth of the world economy and, accordingly, the demand for oil. OPEC, in partnership with Russia, agreed to extend the supply reduction agreement until March 2020. Brent crude rose 15 cents to 64.26 dollars per barrel, American WTI 9 cents to 57.75 dollars per barrel. In general, Brent this year has already grown by almost 20%, and, apparently, this is not the limit. Tensions in the Middle East also contribute to price increases, especially concerns about a deal restricting Iran's nuclear program.

"OPEC and its allies are doing everything possible to support the market. Oil prices should stay high enough in the coming months, or at least they certainly should not fall," PVM believes. Oil also supports forecasts for US reserves, which, according to analysts, will be reduced by 3.6 million barrels. In addition, in early July, oil production in Russia fell to almost a three-year low due to a reduction in the production of the largest producer, Rosneft. The reason for the decline is the consequences of detecting contaminated oil in the Druzhba pipeline.