Overview

A breakout at the support of 185/98 argues that the consolidation pattern from 180.36 was completed at 188.79. An intraday bias turned back to the downside in order to test the support zone of 180.36/64. At the moment, an outlook is likely to stay bearish as long as 188.79 resistance holds even in case of recovery. A breakout of the medium-term trend line support is taken as a sign of trend reversal. This is supported by bearish divergence condition in the weekly MACD. Also, GBP/JPY was close to key cluster resistance of 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to the psychological level of 200. The break of 174.86 will confirm trend reversal and bring a deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67. In case of another rise, we'll be cautious on strong resistance from 199.80/200.00 to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.25; (P) 186.11; (R1) 186.58;