The USD/CAD is in a position where I expect to see more downside toward 1.31 before a strong upward move toward 1.40. Although I cannot rule out that the move toward 1.40 has already started. Buying is preferred as long as price is above 1.30.

The USD/CAD is trying to break above the 4 hour cloud resistance at 1.3360-1.3370. Short-term support is at 1.33. If support fails to hold we should expect the blue trend line support at 1.3250 to be tested. If broken expect USD/CAD to fall towards 1.31 where a longer-term support trend line is found.

Red line - resistance

As mentioned above, I cannot rule out that price will hold the blue trend line support at 1.3250 and start its next move up toward 1.40. However if the blue trend line breaks, I expect the red trend line support at 1.31 to hold and provide the power for the next bounce to 1.40.