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14.07.201623:39:00UTC+00如有必要,澳大利亚央行将使用混合刺激工具

澳大利亚央行已经仔细研究了其他央行采取的非传统政策,并选择在经济突然转向导致极端情况的方向时采取混合的刺激。

澳大利亚储备银行倾向于传统的降息,目前的基准利率为1.75%。但是预计下个月降息并且代理行长Philip Lowe将在九月接管澳央行的经济学家们认为降息的作用将会打折扣,因为现在已经接近1%。这种情况让澳央行开始研究其他央行的做法。澳央行研究了日本、美国和欧洲等央行在过去几年中实施的除降息以外的其他货币干预。

尽管极端条件在澳大利亚成为现实的可能性越来越小,摩根斯坦利、麦格理银行和摩根大通都预计现任行长Glenn Stevens

和继任者Lowe都需要在明年年底前把利率降至1%。

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