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Forex Analysis & Reviews: 2020年10月30日欧元/美元的热门预测和交易建议
time 30.10.2020 10:39 AM
time Relevance up to, 30.10.2020 07:42 PM

正式来说,欧洲中央银行完全没有改变货币政策。但是,单一的欧洲货币突然暴跌。这是由于举行欧洲央行会议的背景。例如,在通货紧缩的环境下,通货膨胀率一直保持在当前水平甚至更低,直到通货膨胀接近2.0%的目标水平的传统提法开始完全不同。毕竟,这意味着由于消费价格继续下降,因此利率也可以降低。至少欧洲央行自己保留了这一机会。此外,所附声明的文字说,由于冠状病毒疫情而引入的紧急资产回购计划,如有必要,可延长至2022年底。德国总理安格拉默克尔呼吁在欧洲引入新的隔离区尽快非常适合那个非常需要的角色。对每个人来说显而易见的是,企业尚未从春季隔离区中恢复过来,新的,中小型企业将无法生存。因此,欧洲央行将不得不付出很多努力来防止经济完全崩溃。换句话说,由于当前欧洲正在发生的一切,有关欧洲央行可能采取的行动的都被视为近期的具体计划。

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公平地说,请注意,美国最新报告的表现要好于预期。这本身有助于美元升值。当然,首次申请失业救济的人数下降幅度略小于预期。预计从791,00下降到750,000。实际上,他们的人数减少到751,000。然而,这仍然是减少。但更重要的是,重复申请失业救济的人数正在迅速下降。因此它应该从8,465,000减少到7,900,000。但他们的人数下降到了7,756,000。尽管先前的数据(无论是初次申请还是重复申请)均被向上修订,但失业率持续下降(尤其是比预期更快)的事实完全消除了这一麻烦。此外,对第三季度国内生产总值的首次估算显示,美国的经济下降速度从-9.0%放缓至-2.9%。因此,经济显然显示出稳健的复苏。

重复性失业保险索赔(美国):

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这一看,欧元今天有充分的理由上涨。 但是,这是一个令人误解的印象。 例如,对国内生产总值的初步估计可能显示经济下降速度从-14.7%下降到-8.0%。 一切似乎都很好。 但与美国相比,这更像是一场灾难,因为经济衰退的规模要大得多。 此外,对消费物价动态的初步估计应显示通缩率将从-0.3%降至-0.2%。 但是,值得注意的是,这仍然是通货紧缩,已经连续第三个月出现。 因此,这两个指标看起来都不太好。 此外,失业率不是根据初步估计,而是可能从8.1%上升到8.6%。 随着美国失业率的下降,这看起来令人震惊。 因此,欧洲统计数字可能会进一步破坏欧元的地位。

通货膨胀(欧洲):

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欧元/美元货币对成功维持了先前的下行情绪,因此,支撑位1.1700被打破,报价冲至下一个点1.1650,出现了回调。

根据报价的当前位置,您可以看到市场上仍持有空头,这可能导致完成回调过程,也可能会更新当地低点。

相对于市场动态记录了加速度,这一点已被市场上的高度投机兴趣所证实。

从一般的交易图表(每天)来看,我们可以看到从1.1612开始的向上波动几乎已经完成,复苏规模为84%。

我们可以假设,当价格没有稳定在1.1695之上时,这将导致价格下跌,而前一日的低点1.1650将是卖主的第一点。若跌破1.1650坐标,则表明随后向9月25日低点1.1612移动。

从全面的指标分析的角度来看,我们看到每小时和每日的技术指标由于快速下跌而发出卖出信号。

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Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2022
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2022年7月22日欧元/美元热点预测
虽然欧洲央行上调了再融资利率,但实际上却为欧洲单一货币的更大跌幅开辟了道路......
作者: Dean Leo
06:36 2022-07-24 UTC--4
3583
2021 年 8 月 2 日英镑/美元的热门预测
正确课程从心理意义的领域。
作者: Dean Leo
01:42 2021-08-04 UTC--4
8083
2020年12月24日英镑/美元的热门预测
看来贸易协议仍会签署,尽管到目前为止还没有任何细节,而且只是谣传谈判最终成功结束,但英镑显然旨在进一步发展。
作者: Dean Leo
04:57 2020-12-24 UTC--5
12028
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