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Forex Analysis & Reviews: 戈尔德没有在鲍威尔第二次被任命的消息中幸存下来
time 23.11.2021 09:46 AM
time Relevance up to, 28.11.2021 09:01 AM

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由于美元大幅升值,黄金价格昨日暴跌。值得注意的是,在白宫提名杰罗姆•鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)连任美联储(Fed)主席后,美元出现了升值。

周一的高潮是关于杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)可能连任美联储(Federal Reserve System)主席的消息。他的候选资格得到了美国总统乔·拜登的支持。现在,剩下的就是获得国会的批准。

美国政府首脑还提议任命莱尔·布雷纳德为中央银行副主席。许多人认为,作为货币政策软化的支持者,她可能会成为鲍威尔的主席。

但由于格林斯潘仍执掌美联储,投资者认为,美联储仍有可能加快目前的紧缩步伐。

这意味着,韩国银行将继续从本月开始缩减债券购买规模,最终将导致利率上升。

这种情况就像是美元的长期锚。然而,中国现在已经做出了快速增长的反应。在宣布鲍威尔可能连任后,美元汇率上涨0.5%,接近2020年夏季以来的最高水平。

同样在周一,10年期美国国债收益率显示出积极的动态。该指标升至1.62%,而上周五下午为1.535%。

美元走强和美国国债收益率上升,给黄金带来了巨大的下行压力。昨天,金价下跌了45.30美元(2.4%),创下了3个半月以来的最大跌幅。该资产以1,806.30美元收盘,为两周低点。

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专家们关注的是,当天的收盘价跌到了被认为是支撑金价的关键技术门槛的1835美元。这可能加速了周一房价的进一步下跌。

他说:"我认为,鲍威尔连任的消息只是短期黄金交易商的借口,他们想在金价近期上涨后获利。毕竟,市场作为一个整体预期鲍威尔将被再次任命为美联储主席,而黄金不应该像他们那样作出反应。"——分析师吉姆·威科夫评论道。

同时,专家强调,尽管目前金价下跌,但短期内仍保持上涨趋势。他认为,未来投资者对黄金的需求将会很高,因为它可以对冲不断加剧的通胀。

贵金属分析师Suki Cooper也预计,市场将继续关注通胀压力上升和实际债券收益率下降。在此背景下,2022年第一季度的黄金平均价格可能为1875美元,比昨天的收盘价高出3%。

根据他的预测,专家认为最近贵金属市场价格的下跌可能是一个买入的好机会。

"投资者担心通胀风险增加,但同时也不相信央行会立即对价格加速上涨做出强硬反应。我认为联邦储备系统仍然不会急于提高利率,不管谁是主导。"美国Cooper说。

这位专家指出,黄金仍是对抗通胀的最佳防御工具之一,本周美国的另一批经济数据可能会对金价提供支持。

投资者正在等待个人消费支出价格指数的公布。据S. Cooper称,上个月的经济指标将比去年同期增长4.2%,达到1991年以来的最高水平。

Аlena Ivannitskaya,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2023
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