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21.03.2025 07:25 AM
歐元/美元和英鎊/美元 3月21日 - 技術分析

歐元/美元

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較高時間框架

該貨幣對未能突破週線(1.0948)和月線(1.0943)Ichimoku雲圖的阻力水平,回撤至多個時間框架的支撐集聚區(1.0819–1.0856)。隨著本週交易即將結束,若跌破並在此支撐區下方鞏固,週線上將形成拒絕信號。在此情況下,空方的下一步將是確認並延續下行運動,隨後的支撐水平在1.0696–1.0727之間。如果該貨幣對未能跌破1.0819–1.0856,一個暫停或整固的情況更為可能。隨後,市場可能再次測試Ichimoku雲圖的邊界(1.0948–1.0943),試圖突破並維持在多頭區域。

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H4 – H1

在較短的時間架構上,空頭占據了上風。今天進一步下跌的潛力存在於經典的樞紐支持位:1.0807 – 1.0759 – 1.0704。

可能打破當前勢力平衡的重要水平是:

  • 1.0862(每日中央樞紐水平)
  • 1.0894(每週長期趨勢水平)

如果多頭勢力回歸,突破周趨勢線將改變其斜率。多頭的下一個上行目標將是經典的樞紐阻力位:1.0910 – 1.0965 – 1.1013。

***

GBP/USD

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較高時間框架

在本週內,多頭成功挑戰了上週的高點,但未能取得更大的進展。相反,他們正進入整固階段,以1.2941的日內短期趨勢線為支撐。因此,之前的結論和期望依然有效。多頭的關鍵目標仍然是100%斐波納契投射水平,也就是1.3047,而空頭最近的計劃則涉及跌破1.2910–1.2923的週支撐水平。

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H4 – H1

在較低的時間框架中,賣家已在關鍵水平以下鞏固,這給予他們技術上的優勢。為了今日進一步下跌,空頭將目標瞄準打破經典的支撐點:1.2930 – 1.2894 – 1.2852。要扭轉局勢,多頭需突破並維持在關鍵區域1.2972–1.2968之上(日中央樞紐 + 週長期趨勢),從而逆轉趨勢。若要持續上升,需突破樞紐阻力水平:1.3008 – 1.3050 – 1.3086。

***

技術分析組成部分:
  • 較高時間框架:Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) 和 Fibonacci Kijun 水平
  • H1:經典樞紐點和120期移動平均線(週長期趨勢)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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