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08.04.2011 11:22 AM
GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 8, 2011

GBP/JPY is developing potential corrective wave B of A-B-C cycle of corrective waves. The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 135.10-139.60, 130.18-139.60.

Supports:

- 137.35 = .50 retracement
- 136.82 = .618 ret
- 136.00 = .382 ret
- etc.

But if the price breaks above 139.60 the current wave up will become subwave C of impulse wave of larger degree. The immediate resistances will then be Fibonacci expansions off 122.49-133.04-130.18, 130.18-133.76-132.38, 132.38-136.03-135.10, 135.10-139.60-137.80.

Resistances:

- 140.58 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 140.73 = objective point (OP)
- 141.01 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 141.75 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)

This image is no longer relevant

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the medium term is now up it's preferable to look for longs when the Detrended Oscillator gets below the zero level (25-30 pips below the current prices) or into the oversold area (55-70 pips below the current prices).

Read more on how to apply Fibonacci studies to calculate price targets.

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