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05.02.2014 05:07 AM
Technical analysis of DJIA for February 05, 2014

We have seen a 7% correction in Dow. It is trading close to its 200 DEMA but more importantly it has hit RSI oversold zones. Suchlike previous RSI transitions have led to a strong bounce. Also, further dips will take it to trend line/channel supports. We recommend that you buy call from cmp or get in slowly in the dips to 15k-15,300. A reversal above any day's highs on hourly basis could also be a turnaround signal. We have seen a correction from approx 16,500-15,300 levels happened in a short period of time.

We are highly oversold at current levels in the daily and hourly charts. Every time when the RSI touch 20 levels, we saw a strong bounce back . In a worst-case scenario, we can see 14,800-15,000. The market will give some good bounce, if another low comes. So we can see a positive divergence in RSI which may lead to a strong rally. We can observe double bottom at the level 15,356.

Support: 15,300, 15,000, 14,800

Resistance 15,500, 15,700, 16000

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In the hourly chart, we can observe positive divergence in RSI from 15,880 levels. So it is likely to bounce back to the target somewhere around 15,700-15,800.

Intra-Resistance: 15,478, 15,532, 15,700

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Recommendation-

Below 15,356 the price is seen to fall another 300-500 points, which will be an interesting entry point.

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