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20.09.2012 01:19 PM
USD/CHF Wave Analysis for September 20,2012

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USD/CHF Elliott Wave
For the last few days the USD/CHF pair was trading in a sideways move, developing corrective (4) wave (coloured green) of the bigger (A) wave (coloured orange). During yesterday’s Asian session we could observe a descending movement towards the 0.9257 level. Therefore, during the early European session this major pair did not manage to hold this level and price started pushing higher reaching a new daily high at 0.9306 level. During the New York session price retrace back to 0.9260 level before we could observe continuation of the European bullish mood. At the moment the USD/CHF pair is trading around 0.9335 level and we are expecting to see price around 0.9442 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 4 should retrace 100% of the wave 2, we can define the potential targets with measuring 2 wave, with Take Profit 1 at 0.9442 (100% of wave 2). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 0.9238 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index data as it can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9231 (S2) 0.9249 (S1) 0.9261 (PP) 0.9280 (R1) 0.9298 (R2) 0.9310 (R3) 0.9329
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 0.9340 with Stop Loss 0.9238 and Take Profit at 0.9442 are recommended.

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