As we explained in previous analysis, it is very important for bulls to recapture the 1.13 level. Each time we saw price above 1.13 the previous weeks, sellers came in and pushed price back below 1.13. This week will be decisive. Will we see a break out or a rejection?

EURUSD is above the horizontal weekly resistance. Staying above it is key for the medium-term trend. Support is at 1.1225 for the medium-term. In our previous analysis I said that I saw a downward break down as the most probable scenario. However we also noted the importance of the triangle pattern in the short-term. The break above the upper triangle boundary changed our view.

Green line - support

Short-term support is at 1.1285. Previous resistance is now support. Bulls do not want to see price get back inside the triangle and specially break below the green trend line support. This would be the worst scenario. This would lead price to 1.11-1.1050. For now bulls have the upper hand.