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05.09.201622:11:00UTC+00押注日央行宽松放缓,美元兑日元贬值

随着日央行行长黑田东彦令投资者失望的声明,美元兑日元走低。投资者们原本预期该声明能给出继续货币宽松的明确信号。美元兑日元在六日内涨幅超过4%,但在美国劳动节下滑了近0.8%,至103.15日元。

黑田并没有提供关于投资者们预期的明显信号,虽然他提到准备好扩大目前已经颇具规模的刺激计划。根据UBS货币策略带头人Constantin Bolz的看法,导致美元兑日元上涨的因素包括预期美联储九月加息和押注日央行继续宽松。据CME的FedWatch数据,目前市场认为九月加息的可能性为1/5,而年底加息的可能性则高于50%。

美元指数为95.758,保持在周五美联储就业数据出炉后的一周低点 95.189之上。

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