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12.04.2021 10:24 AM
Simplified wave analysis and forecast for EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/JPY, GOLD on April 12

EUR/USD

Analysis:

The direction of the short-term trend of the pan-European currency is set by the bearish wave algorithm of January 6. In a larger wave of the global trend, this is a correction area. Since March 31, the price has been rolling back up. The wave level of the movement does not exceed the scale of the intermediate pullback.

Forecast:

In the next trading sessions, the bullish course of the movement is expected to continue, until the full completion of the price increase. In the first half of the day, a sideways movement along the support zone is more likely. By the end of the day, an increase in activity is expected.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 1.1950/1.1980

Support:

- 1.1880/1.1850

Recommendations:

In the conditions of flat trading, transactions on the euro market are possible only in fractional lots within the intraday. Today, it is safer to give priority to the pair's purchases.

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AUD/USD

Analysis:

The main vector of the movement of the Australian dollar in the main pair is set by an upward trend wave. The price is in the area of a strong potential reversal zone. A correction has been forming along with it in the last month and a half. From April 1, at the end of this wave, an upward reversal pattern is formed, which will be the beginning of the next wave of the trend.

Forecast:

Today, we expect the end of the sideways flat that has been going on for the past week. Further, in the area of the support zone, a change in the exchange rate and the beginning of a price rise is expected. The upper limit of the probable daily course is shown by the resistance zone.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 0.7660/0.7690

Support:

- 0.7600/0.7570

Recommendations:

In the next trading sessions on the "Aussie" market, it is recommended to track the purchase signals of the instrument.

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GBP/JPY

Analysis:

The main direction of movement since March of last year is set by an upward wave. After reaching the lower limit of strong resistance since the end of February, a correction began on the chart. The wave has a structure of the complex shape, most of all resembling a stretched plane.

Forecast:

In the first half of the day, a flat mood of the price movement is expected today. It is possible to decline to the support area. By the end of the day, you can expect activation and re-ascent to the area of the resistance zone.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 150.80/151.10

Support:

- 149.90/149.60

Recommendations:

Today, trading transactions on the pair's market are more secure within the intraday. Sales can be risky. After the appearance of clear reversal signals, it is recommended to buy the pair.

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GOLD

Analysis:

The main course of the price movement of gold since August last year is set by a bearish trend wave. Since the end of February, the price has been adjusted in a flat corridor, forming a stretched plane. The wave has entered its final phase.

Forecast:

In the coming day, the price of the instrument is expected to move in the price corridor between the nearest counter zones. In the European session, we can expect a decline in the area of the support zone. By the end of the day or tomorrow, a change in the vector is likely, with a second rise in the resistance area.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 1755.0/1760.0

Support:

- 1730.0/1725.0

Recommendations:

Until the end of the entire correction wave, gold sales are premature. In trading transactions, it is recommended to use a fractional lot.

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Explanation: In the simplified wave analysis (UVA), waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). The last incomplete wave is analyzed. The solid background of the arrows shows the formed structure, and the dotted one shows the expected movements.

Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of the tool movements in time!

Isabel Clark,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
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