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10.04.2026 01:17 PM
美國交易時段水準與目標調整 – 4月10日

今天運用均值回歸策略時,歐元、英鎊和澳元的表現非常出色。我沒有使用動能策略進行交易,儘管加幣看起來相當有前景。

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接下來,我們將迎來自美國、以色列與伊朗戰事爆發以來的首批美國通膨數據。市場預計將公布3月份的美國消費者物價指數(CPI),以及密西根大學消費者信心指數與通膨預期。這些報告將成為關鍵指標,用以評估地緣政治緊張局勢與持續的經濟挑戰,如何影響全球最大經濟體的物價穩定。市場正密切關注每一項變化,因為通膨數據會直接影響聯準會在貨幣政策上的決策,尤其是利率走向。

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市場將特別關注核心消費者物價指數(Core CPI),該指數排除了食品和能源價格等波動較大的組成部分。這一指標通常被視為更能準確反映通脹內在走勢的指標。來自 University of Michigan 的數據同樣重要,因為它顯示消費者對當前經濟狀況的看法,以及他們對未來物價的預期。任何與預測值的偏離,都可能引發金融市場的顯著波動。

如果數據表現強勁,我將採用 Momentum 策略;若市場對數據反應平淡,我將繼續使用 Mean Reversion 策略。

下半日 Momentum 策略(突破)

針對 EUR/USD

  • 在向上突破 1.1719 後買入,目標看向 1.1745 和 1.1769
  • 在向下突破 1.1685 後賣出,目標看向 1.1650 和 1.1620

針對 GBP/USD

  • 在向上突破 1.3450 後買入,目標看向 1.3481 和 1.3512
  • 在向下突破 1.3412 後賣出,目標看向 1.3381 和 1.3350

針對 USD/JPY

  • 在向上突破 159.32 後買入,目標看向 159.53 和 159.74
  • 在向下突破 159.09 後賣出,目標看向 158.87 和 158.57

下半日 Mean Reversion 策略(回調)

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針對 EUR/USD

  • 若匯價向上突破 1.1720 後失敗,並回落至此水準下方時,可尋找做空機會
  • 若匯價向下跌破 1.1678 後失敗,並回升至此水準時,可尋找做多機會
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針對 GBP/USD

  • 若匯價向上突破 1.3445 失敗,且隨後跌回此水準之下,可尋找做空機會
  • 若匯價向下跌破 1.3410 失敗,且隨後回升至此水準,可尋找做多機會
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針對 AUD/USD

  • 若匯價向上突破 0.7080 失敗並回落至此水準之下時,尋找做空機會
  • 若匯價向下跌破 0.7056 失敗並回升至此水準時,尋找做多機會
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針對 USD/CAD

  • 若匯價向上突破 1.3848 失敗,並回落跌破此水準後,可尋找賣出機會
  • 若匯價向下跌破 1.3823 失敗,並回升重返此水準時,可尋找買入機會

Miroslaw Bawulski,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
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