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06.12.2023 08:46 PM
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for December 6, 2023
Technical Support Under Scrutiny:Potential Breakout Looms?

Key Highlights:

  • Pound sterling faces a critical test at 1.2572, prompting speculation about an impending breakout.
  • Bulls must defend the 1.2571 - 1.2547 zone, a pivotal short-term demand area.
  • Weekly time frame signals a bullish stance, supported by a Bullish Engulfing pattern post-breakout at 1.2340.

Technical Market Overview:

The GBP/USD pair is currently testing a pivotal short-term technical support at 1.2572, with potential implications for a breakout. A breach could lead to further downside, targeting subsequent support levels at 1.2558 and 1.2547. The 1.2571 - 1.2547 zone emerges as a critical short-term demand area, requiring vigilant defense by bulls. H4 timeframe indicators reflect weak and negative momentum, with the RSI nearing oversold conditions. A sustained breakout above 1.2726 is essential for a shift to a more bullish outlook, possibly targeting the last swing high at 1.2732.

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Weekly Pivot Points:

  • WR3 (Resistance 3) - 1.2908
  • WR2 (Resistance 2) - 1.2820
  • WR1 (Resistance 1) - 1.2766
  • Weekly Pivot - 1.2678
  • WS1 (Support 1) - 1.2624
  • WS2 (Support 2) - 1.2536
  • WS3 (Support 3) - 1.2482

Trading Outlook:

The weekly chart displays a decisive Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern, affirming bullish sentiment post-breakout at 1.2340. Currently above the 50-week moving average (WMA), the market aims for the 100 WMA at 1.2504. Conversely, a sustained break below the critical long-term support at 1.1802 increases the likelihood of a substantial downward movement, potentially targeting 1.1494.

Intraday H1 Time Frame Analysis:

- Out of 21 technical indicators, 17 display a Strong Sell signal, 3 are Neutral, and 1 indicates a Buy signal.

- All 18 moving averages present a Strong Sell signal.

Sentiment Scoreboard:

The overall sentiment leans bullish (58% bulls vs.. 42% bears). Last week's sentiment also remained bullish (54% bulls vs.. 46% bears), with the sentiment over the last three days aligning as bullish as well (55% bulls vs.. 45% bears).

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