Fundamentals:

Heightened transatlantic tensions drove the currency lower as EU is ready to retaliate against $23 billion of US goods with US auto tariffs deadline of 18 May approaching. Those duties would be based on the same national - security grounds invoked for controversial American levies on foreign steel and Aluminum. US tariffs on European cars and auto parts will mark a significant escalation of transatlantic tensions because the value of EU automotive exports to the America market is about 10 times greater than that of the bloc's steels and aluminum exports combined. Hence, if the auto tariffs are imposed, EU retaliatory duties would target a bigger amount of US exports to Europe. Elsewhere, Italian 2 year yield rose sharply while EUR plummeted on as Italy Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini said the nation is ready to break EU fiscal rules if necessary to boost employment.

Technical analysis:

Price is starting to break an ascending support line and we expect it to drop further to 1.1180. It reacted perfectly from our resistance level yesterday and is on track to reaching its profit target.