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31.07.2017 12:50 PM
Indicator analysis. Daily review of the currency pairs EUR / USD and GBP / USD for July 31, 2017

On Monday, the following are strong calendar news:

- 10.00 BST EUR, consumer price index (CPI) (y / y) (July), waiting for 1.1%, the previous value was 1.1%;

- 15.00 BST USD, index of unfinished sales in the real estate market (June), waiting for 1.0%, the previous value was -0.8%.

EUR / USD pair

Trend analysis (Figure 1).

On Friday, the price re-tested the retraceable Fibonacci level of 38.2% - 1 1735 and after that went down. On Monday, most likely, the downward movement will begin. The complex analysis will more accurately tell where the price will go.

This image is no longer relevant

Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Indicator analysis on the daily chart (Figure 2).

The system of ADX indicators (Figure 2).

On the last run, the fast line (indicator period 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved upward. But the fast (white) line is above 80%. In this case, the trend should be determined from the indicators of the oscillator type.

Stochastic indicator (period 3/3/4) on the daily chart gives a downward trend (Fig. 2).

The system of RSI indicators (Fig. 2).

When working with the daily chart, the following periods are used in the RSI indicator system: 21 (brown), 8 (blue), 13 (yellow), 5 (red).

Closed candle at the last day.

Calculation of the RSI indicator (5) by properties yields down.

Calculation of the RSI indicator (8) by properties yields down.

The bottom line: The RSI indicator system gives a downward trend.

The calculation of the CCI indicator on the properties gives down.

The bottom line: The CCI indicator system gives a downward trend.

The result of the indicator analysis: The price will have a downward trend.

This image is no longer relevant

Fig. 2 (daily chart).

Complex analysis:

- Indicator analysis - down;

- Fibonacci levels - down;

- Volumes - upwards;

- Candle analysis - down;

- Trend analysis - down;

- Bollinger lines - down;

- Weekly chart - down.

General conclusion. On Monday, most likely, the pair EUR / USD will have a lower movement with the first target of 1.1613.

GBP / USD pair

Trend analysis (Figure 1).

On Friday, the price of the news moved up. On Monday, after reaching the retraceable Fibonacci level of 38.2% - 1.3143, the market will try to go down with the target of 1.2932, the lower fractal level. The complex analysis will more accurately tell where the price will go.

This image is no longer relevant

Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Indicator analysis on the daily chart (Figure 2).

The system of ADX indicators (Figure 2).

On the last run, the fast line (indicator period 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved upward. In this case, the trend should be determined by trend type indicators.

MACD indicator (period 5/8/13).

The linear part of the MACD indicator.

The fast line (signal) is the white line.

The slow line (main line) is the blue line.

The result for the linear part of the MACD indicator is an upward trend.

Histogram of the MACD indicator.

Histogram - columns of black color.

The result of the histogram of the MACD indicator is an upward trend.

Overall result: The MACD indicator on the daily chart gives an upward trend.

Middle lines of the EMA.

On the daily chart, the following average lines are used.

1 middle line of the EMA - the color is white (first shadow).

5 middle line of the EMA - the color is red (the first shadow).

8 middle line of the EMA - the color is blue (the first shadow and trend).

13 middle line of the EMA - the color is yellow (trend).

21 middle line of the EMA - the color is brown (trend).

At the last run, the 8 middle line of the EMA (blue) moved up and below the 13 middle line of the EMA (yellow) is the signal of the bottom work.

The 21 middle line of the EMA is moving up and above the 13 middle line of the EMA, amplifies the lower work signals.

The bottom line: The EMA middle line system on the daily chart gives a downward trend.

The probability distribution of the indicators is as follows:

The average EMA lines are 24% down;

The MACD indicator (linear part) is 38% up;

The MACD indicator (histogram) is 38% up.

The result of the indicator analysis: The price will have an upward trend.

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Fig. 2 (daily chart).

Complex analysis:

- Indicator analysis - up;

- Fibonacci levels - down;

- Volumes are neutral;

- Candle analysis - down;

- Trend analysis - down;

- Bollinger lines - up;

- Weekly chart - down.

General conclusion.

On Monday, the pair GBP / USD will have a downward trend, to the level of 1.2932.

Stefan Doll,
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