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26.07.2022 04:56 PM
Trading plan for EURUSD on July 26, 2022

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Technical outlook:

EURUSD dropped to 1.0120-30 intraday on Tuesday and is now trading close to the day's low at the time of writing. The single currency pair was expected to remain in control of bears until at least 1.0100 and up to 1.0075 in the near term. The bulls are looking to come back in control thereafter and push the price to the 1.0800-1.0900 zone as discussed earlier.

EURUSD has been in a religious downtrend since January 2021 after hitting highs close to 1.2350. The drop looks complete at 0.9952 or is close to termination soon. The currency pair has been working on a counter-trend rally after bouncing back from 0.9952. Targets are identified at 1.0800 and 1.0900.

Furthermore, the trading instrument has produced a lower-degree upswing between 0.9952 and 1.0275 in the past few trading sessions. The bears are working on the above upswing and are likely to drag the price through the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement to 1.0075. We can expect a bullish reversal thereafter. The bottom line is that 0.9952 should remain in place.

Going forward:

EURUSD might still have some more upside left until the bulls are able to grab the price above 0.9952. Also, note that 1.0800-1.0900 is the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement of the entire drop between 1.2350 and 0.9952. The currency pair is expected to find some resistance if prices manage to reach there.

Trading plan:

Potential rally towards 1.0800-1.0900 against 0.9952

Good luck!

Oscar Ton,
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