Green lines- Fibonacci retracements

Red lines- bearish channel

The Dollar index is still in a bearish short-term trend. Price continues making lower lows and lower highs inside the short-term bearish channel. Price is at 106.40 just above the 38% Fibonacci retracement level of the entire rise from 89 to 114.75. After the latest lower low in price, the RSI did not provide new lows, but a bullish divergence. This does not mean that the down trend is over. A new lower low remains highly probable as long as price is inside the bearish channel. Next downside target is at 104.95-105 as long as price is below 107.35. If a new bullish divergence is seen, then the chances for a bounce and reversal to the upside will increase. The 38% Fibonacci retracement around 105 is very important technical support and I expect a strong bounce from this level.