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23.03.2023 09:49 AM
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for March 23, 2023

Technical Market Outlook:

The EUR/USD pair has made a new swing high at the level of 1.0930 after the FED hikes interest rates as expected, so the investors are selling the USD across the board. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of 1.0789 and the intraday technical resistance is located at 1.0940, but in a case of a breakout to the upside above the level of 1.0940, the next target for bulls is seen at the level of 1.1033 (swing high from Feb 2). The strong and positive momentum on the H4 time-frame chart support the short-term bullish outlook for EUR, however the market conditions are now extremely overbought on this time frame as well. The pull-back might occur any time now, so please be prepared for increased volatility on the short-term time frame charts.

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Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.07258

WR2 - 1.07006

WR1 - 1.06865

Weekly Pivot - 1.06754

WS1 - 1.06613

WS2 - 1.06502

WS3 - 1.06250

Trading Outlook:

Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might had been terminated at the level of 1.1033 which is 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The EUR had made a new multi-decade low at the level of 0.9538, so as long as the USD is being bought all across the board, the down trend will continue towards the new lows.

Sebastian Seliga,
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