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06.09.2013 08:19 AM
Elliott Wave analysis of EUR/NZD for September 6, 2013

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Today's Support and Resistance levels:

R3: 1.6806

R2: 1.6744

R1: 1.6654

Current Spot: 1.6586

S1: 1.6582

S2: 1.6485

S3: 1.6409

Technical summary:

This wave ii correction has proven to be a harder nut to crack than expected. Once again we have taken out what could be the final low and once again we had to adjust our short-term count. Once again we could be at the low for this wave ii correction, which now has corrected 70.7% of wave i. However, the second waves are allowed to correct the whole wave i, but can never break below the starting point of wave i, which in this case is at 1.6325. Again we see a possible hidden divergence, but it could also be a warning that we still have more downside moves to come. To end this wave ii correction we need a break above the resistance at 1.6651 and more importantly a break above 1.6806. A break above the latter will confirm that wave ii has finally come to the end and wave iii is moving higher, at least, to 1.7968.

Trading recommendation:

If you are long from 1.6752, stay long, otherwise buy EUR upon a break above 1.6651 with a stop at 1.6325 expecting to be able to raise you stop higher soon.

Torben Melsted,
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