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30.08.2012 01:16 PM
EUR/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for August 30 - 31, 2012

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Weekly Pivot Point: 1.2465

Time Frame: H1

 

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Weekly Pivot Points:

R3: 1,2930
R2: 1,2760
R1: 1,2635
PP: 1,2465
S1: 1,2340
S2: 1,2170
S3: 1,2045
 

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Trading Recommendations:

According to the previous events, the price is still located between 1.2450 and 1.2650.



  • Buy deals are recommended above 1.2460 with the targets seen at 1.2590 and 1.2675 levels.
  • Look for further downward movement below 1.2760 with the first target seen at 1.2710 and 1.2603 levels.



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Overview:

The EUR/USD pair has broken the resistance level and turned towards the support level near the two week point of 1.2465 (August 22, 2012). Therefore, the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.2465. Moreover, having failed to close below 1.2465 (which became a weekly pivot point for August 27 - 31, 2012), the pair started showing a bullish reaction at this level. It is necessary to mention that these levels coincide with strong levels for bulls on H1 chart; the pair has also formed a strong support at the level of 1.2460. So, the pair will move upwards which is a convincing fact; the structure of the upside movement looks as non-corrective indicating a bullish opportunity above 1.2460. This can be a good sign for buy deals above 1.2460 with the first target at 1.2590 initiating an uptrend in order to continue the bullish mood towards the point of 1.2650 and further to 1.2700. If the trend breaks the weekly resistance-1- (1.2635), then the pair will go upwards in these targets. However, it should also be noted that the price is still between 1.2450 and 1.2650, as the last strong resistance level (1.2760) is still able to begin a downtrend at this level. So the market indicates a bearish opportunity at the level 1.2760 on H1 chart with the first target 1.2710 and continues towards 1.2603.

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Observation (s):

  • If the trend is ascending, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
  • Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
  • Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
  • Usually the market has a high volatile, if the last day had a huge volatility.

 

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: [email protected].

Mourad El Keddani,
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