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27.09.2012 10:10 AM
EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for September 27 - 2012

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Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

 

S1: 99.70                      R1: 100.16

S2: 99.48                      R2: 100.46

S3: 98.98                      R3: 101.05

 

Technical Overview: 

The decline from 103.85 has probably developed a falling wedge which normally will be followed by a powerful move in the opposite direction once it is finished and that should not be too long. However, to indicate that the correction from 103.85 has ended, we need a break above 100.46 and more importantly 101.05. A break above will confirm a bottom and call for a return to the top at 103.85. Yesterday I said that the this correction had fulfilled its price target, but not yet its time target, but we are getting close to it and I am more inclined to see the correction from 103.85 to 99.70 as wave 4 now. However, we need a break above 100.46 to ease the downside pressure. As long as minor resistance at 100.46 protects the upside, the risk is to the downside for a move closer to 99.48 and maybe even 98.98, but it will be somewhat unexpected.

 

Trading Recommendation:

You should be long EUR from 100.20 with a 99.48 stop. If you are not long EUR already, wait for a break above 100.46 before buying with the same stop.

Torben Melsted,
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