The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2950 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels initiate a bullish channel.

Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility. Furthermore, the superior band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the hypothesis of a decline.

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channeland we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 1.2950 with the 1st objective at 1.2890 and then at 1.2870. A breakthrough 1.2970 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.2950 with the 1st objective at 1.3010 and then at 1.3030. A breakthrough of 1.2930 will invalidate this scenario.