The Fed's minutes of meeting on June did not show any surprise. With the fact of continuing the Bank's plan to normalize monetary policy with some minor restrictions. On the back of this, the market players cautiously assess the incoming data from the US economic statistics.

In consideration of the published figures, the US dollar was able to gain support, however, not so significant. Today, taking off the market will focus on the release of preliminary data from ADP employment in the private sector of the American economy. They traditionally precede the release of the official figures from the US Department of Labor, which will be issued tomorrow.

According to the forecast from Bloomberg news agency, the number of new jobs in the private sector should grow by 180,000 in June. It can be recalled that the May figures were at the level of 253,000. The consensus forecast assumes a range from 140,000 to 253,000.

It can be assumed that if the data from ADP proves to be positive, holding out or above the forecast level, then it can push the dollar to a new local growth, which will only heighten the wave of publishing the same strong data from the Department of Labor.

Recent developments in the market clearly indicate that the presentation of investors about the prospects for the Fed's monetary policy, though with a creak, but impacts the minds of the most stubborn market players. Therefore, the good news from the labor market will only support the dollar on the wave of keeping the plans of the Federal Reserve.

While other important data that should pay attention today are the figures of applications for unemployment benefits, the index of US business activity in the non-manufacturing sector (PMI) from the ISM for June, of course, the data from the US Department of Energy. In addition, it is expected that FRS member Powell and ECB representative Praet will make some comments. Also, the minutes of June meeting of the ECB will be presented.

Forecast of the day:

The pair EURUSD is still in the short-term downtrend followed by the strengthening of the US dollar. It is expected that when the ADP data came in lower than forecasts, then the pair will resume a smooth correction down to 1.1280 after breaking through the level of 1.1320.

The pair USDJPY is trading above 113.00, hovering in the range of 113.00-113.60. A breakout of the upper range limits the wave of positive data from the ADP which would likely lead to the pair's growth to 114.25.