Technical outlook:

The EUR/USD pair has dropped lower from exactly the 1.1720 levels as discussed earlier this week. Traders who took short positions are requested to take profits now. There are two equally weighted probabilities arising now. 1. If prices unfold into 5 waves from 1.1720 (till now 3 waves corrective structure seen), then lower lows are possible to reach the 1.1200 levels. 2. If wave (4) needs to take on a more complex structure, then we should expect a 5 wave rally pushing above the 1.1850 levels. Looking into the wave counts, the EUR/USD pair has completed wave (3) and is expected to have done with the wave (4) as well at the 1.1850 levels. Please remember that an alternate scenario discussed above still keeps the possibility of the wave (4) terminating higher as possible.

Trading plan:

Aggressive traders build long positions with stop below 1.1490, targeting 1.1950/1.2050.

Fundamental Outlook:

Watch out for German Consumer Price Index figures at 0800 AM EST, followed by USD GDP Annualized at 0830 AM EST

Good luck!