EUR/USD continued its move lower and reached 1.1353. Our past analysis explained that a break below 1.14-1.1380 would push prices towards 1.1320 and the longer-term upward sloping trend line support. Price continues to make lower lows and lower highs but we remain above the critical support area of 1.1320-1.13.

Black line - trend line support

EUR/USD has made no real progress over the last two months. Bulls tried to break above 1.15 but no weekly close was seen above the resistance area. The fake break out and reversal back below 1.14 is a bearish sign. Bulls continue to hope for another leg higher towards 1.17 as long as we trade above 1.13. Breaking below 1.13 will open the way for a move towards 1.11-1.10.