Since February 4, the EUR/AUD pair has been moving sideways with a slightly bullish tendency. This movement was maintained within the depicted bullish channel.

On March 12, the bulls failed to establish an ascending top. Instead, a double-top reversal pattern was established at 1.5500. The neckline is located at 1.5200-1.5170 ( being tested today ).

Breakdown of this neckline will confirm the pattern clearing the way towards the projection target which is roughly located at 1.4950.

Breakdown of price zone 1.5200-1.5170 means confirmation of the breakdown of the lower limit of the bullish channel as well. That's why, a quick bearish swing is expected to follow through.

On the other hand, failure of the bears to fixate below 1.5170 will bring the pair back within the current congestion zone between 1.5200 and 1.5480 giving more time for sideway movements.

Today, the bears need to push below 1.5160 ( recent low established on March 6 ) in order to gather enough momentum for a strong bearish swing towards 1.5100 then 1.4950.