نظرة عامة:

USD/JPY is expected to consolidate with a bullish bias after hitting a three-and-a-half month high at 103.85 on Wednesday. USD/JPY is underpinned by the positive dollar sentiment (ICE spot dollar index last 82.23 versus 81.87 early Wednesday) after more-hawkish-than-expected minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's July meeting which showed that officials debated whether to raise interest rates sooner than expected. USD/JPY is also supported by the demand from Japan importers and higher U.S. Treasury yields (10-year at 2.428% versus 2.407% late Tuesday); yen-funded carry trades amid positive investor risk appetite (VIX fear gauge eased 3.52% to 11.78, S&P 500 closed up 0.25% at 1,986.51 overnight) as investors are certain the U.S. economy is healthy enough to withstand sooner-than-expected rate increases (market participants would be looking for further clues on Fed's monetary policy from Chairwoman Yellen's speech at the Jackson Hole forum for global central bankers on Friday). But USD/JPY gains are tempered by Japanese export sales. The daily chart is positive-biased as MACD and stochastics are bullish, five and 15-day moving averages are advancing.

تعليق فنى:
الفريم اليومى إيجابى حيث الماكد و الإستوكاستيك صاعدين، المتوسط المتحرك الفترة 5 و 15 فى تقدم.

توصيات التداول:

يتداول الزوج أعلى البايفوت و على الأرجح الصعود و فى هذا السيناريو نوصى بالشراء بهدف أول 104.10 و هدف ثان حول 104.50. فى السيناريو المقابل، لو عكس السعر إتجاهه و تداول أسفل البايفوت فعلى الأرجح الهبوط و فى هذا السيناريو نوصى بالبيع بهدف أول 103. كسر هذا الهدف سيؤدى إلى مزيد من الهبوط و ربما نتوقع هدف ثان حول 102.70. البايفوت حول 103.40.

مستويات المقاومة:
104.10
104.50
104.80

مستويات الدعم:
103
102.70
102.50