In July 15, extensive bearish impulse was initiated. Since then, the GBP/USD pair has been downtrending limited by the depicted pattern.

Two successive bearish impulses were initiated around 1.7180 and 1.6630 corresponding to the upper limit of the depicted channel.

Price level of 1.6140 constitutes a prominent weekly support to meet the pair. Temporary breakdown took place last week as depicted on the chart. However, bullish rejection was witnessed in the recent daily candlesticks ( note the bullish engulfing daily candlestick which emerged on Thursday). This led to a bullish weekly closure ( above the weekly support level around 1.6250 ).

We expect the GBP/USD pair to retrace towards the price zone of 1.6330-1.6400 where a new bearish impulse is expected to be applied offering a valid low-risk sell entry. Stop loss should be set as daily closure above 1.6410.

This price zone corresponds to the upper limit of the depicted bearish channel as well as prominent Fibonacci level of the recent bearish impulse between 1.7180 and 1.6060.

Today's daily closure should be considered. A bullish candlestick will probably allow the bulls to retest 1.6330-1.6400 again before further decline can take place.